TECH
Majorana 2: Microsoft's quantum chip made with the help of AI, but doesn't overcome scientists' distrust
Microsoft revealed on Tuesday (2) the second generation of its quantum chip in an attempt to overcome the questions from the scientific community that arose in the previous work. With Majorana 2, the giant claims to have improved the processor's stability with the help of artificial intelligence (AI), but many of the doubts surrounding the research remain.
When it launched Majorana 1 last year, Microsoft drew attention by stating that it had created qubits from a quasiparticle called Majorana fermions. In theory, these particles keep the chip stable by exhibiting topological properties, a term borrowed from mathematics that indicates materials that deform but maintain their properties. Thus, the company is betting on topological qubits to protect the quantum state of the processor.
In quantum computing, information is stored and processed by qubits, or quantum bits. Unlike classical computing in PCs and smartphones, where a bit can be processed as either 0 or 1, a qubit expresses both 0 and 1 simultaneously through a phenomenon called superposition. However, qubits are very unstable, and the major race in the field is to develop error-free devices—among the big names, Microsoft is the only one betting on topological qubits.
By applying recent advances in agentic AI specifically designed to accelerate the scientific process and collaboration, Microsoft's quantum computing team is overcoming reliability, speed, and scale barriers that have limited the application of quantum computing to real-world scenarios.
For example, the qubits in the new chip can maintain their quantum state for a thousand times longer than the first generation, enabling more reliable computations. While other common approaches measure the "lifetime" of a qubit in microseconds, Majorana 2 offers an average time of 20 seconds, with cases lasting up to a minute. This improvement is roughly comparable to inventing a cell phone battery that, instead of lasting a day, could last almost three years on a single charge.
This exceptional reliability, coupled with high speed (operations in a microsecond) and the small size of the qubits (1/100th of a millimeter), has put the team on track to achieve a scalable and commercially viable quantum computer by 2029. According to the company, this machine could solve complex problems in areas such as global health, the food chain, sustainability, and energy production.
“We need to make improvements every year that bring us closer to delivering a computer that we believe has enormous commercial and social value,” said Chetan Nayak, a Microsoft technical fellow. “We need to follow this roadmap, but where are we compared to last year? A thousand times better.”
DARPA Oversight... Microsoft has not made all the technical details of Majorana 2 public. Instead, it has fully shared its data with the Pentagon's Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA), which evaluates the project weekly. "We've exposed all our data to them, everything," said Zulfi Alam, a Microsoft researcher, in a teleconference with journalists. According to him, handing over the information to competitors or laboratories would not make commercial sense.
"Agency-driven artificial intelligence has permeated almost everything we do — it has become a very natural part of our workflow," said Nayak.
The decision to seek external validation comes after a delicate episode. The launch of the first Majorana, a year ago, was the target of criticism – researchers questioned the evidence presented by Microsoft. In addition, previous quantum studies supported by the company were retracted. Now, Microsoft's bet is that the combination of technical advances and DARPA's endorsement will help consolidate its position.
Quantum computing promises to revolutionize sectors such as finance, medicine, and cryptography, solving problems that are beyond the capabilities of classical computers. Microsoft believes that its unique approach with topological qubits will give it an advantage in the race to build the first truly useful quantum machine. Majorana 2 represents the latest – and, according to the company, most solid – step in that direction.
However, the company has never been able to prove that it has found Majorana fermions. The scientific article published in the journal Nature that was supposed to prove the existence of the particle contained the following message from the editors: “The editorial team would like to emphasize that the results of this manuscript do not represent evidence of the presence of Majorana zero modes in the reported devices. The work was published to present a device architecture that may allow fusion experiments using future Majorana zero modes.”
With Majorana II, Microsoft says it has extended the topological state time of qubits from 12 milliseconds to up to 20 seconds, improving the stability period by more than a thousand times, which allows for quantum operations. The company said that in some tests it was possible to exceed the one-minute mark.
According to Microsoft, this was possible by changing some of the materials used in the chip's construction, replacing aluminum with lead, and using a combination of indium arsenide and indium arsenide antimonide in the active semiconductor region. Thus, the company stated that it expects to have a functional, error-free quantum computer by 2029—the same year that IBM expects to have the Starling processor operational, which promises to have 200 logical qubits and be capable of solving more than 100 million quantum operations.
Microsoft said the breakthrough was made possible by integrating artificial intelligence (AI) into the research process through a new scientific platform called Microsoft Discovery. The algorithms tested combinations of materials, different voltages, and their potential consequences for the entire project.
“The use of agentic AI to automate measurements was a game-changer. It does some calculations and starts asking: ‘What is the lowest point where everything still works properly?’ And it manages to perform all these voltage adjustments in parallel, something a human being cannot do. Because of how our minds work, we tend to work in a more linear way,” stated Chetan Nayak, a Microsoft researcher on the project.
Despite this, doubts about topological qubits remain, as explained by Ivan Oliveira, a researcher at the Brazilian Center for Physics Research:
— This is already the second version of a quantum chip they've released without a clear demonstration of the implementation of any protocol. Until this is done (execution of logical switches of 1 and 2 qubits, small algorithms, such as entanglement, etc.), the community will remain suspicious. The Majorana fermion has not even been experimentally demonstrated beyond doubt, which requires the reproduction of experiments by several. In other words, there are doubts even about the existence of this particle.
In an interview with Science magazine, Sergey Frolov, a professor at the University of Pittsburgh (USA) who is critical of Microsoft, stated: “The Microsoft Quantum project follows a persistent pattern of unreliable claims, so the new claims are not surprising.”
The rush to develop quantum computing is explained from an economic perspective. If these machines become a reality, they could profoundly alter various sectors, such as materials research, medicine, logistics, energy, and the financial market. At the end of May, the Trump administration announced that it would grant $2 billion in subsidies to nine quantum computing companies, including equity stakes from the US government—IBM will receive half of the amount.
According to the investment bank Jefferies, the quantum market could become a $198 billion opportunity by 2040. The consulting firm McKinsey estimates that four sectors (chemical industry, science, finance, and mobility) could see an increase of $2 trillion by 2035 as a result of these technologies.
— Microsoft is putting its neck on the chopping block. It's hard to believe that a company with its reputation would be bluffing. If it proves the existence of the Majorana fermion, and even uses this particle in a real quantum chip, it will probably win the Nobel Prize in Physics. In other words, there are only two paths for them: glory or ruin — says Oliveira.

